Friday November 06, 2009 | Fully Myelinated Politics, Science, Miscellany |
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Gilbert & Sullivan and false certainty
I got in a little debate at lunch yesterday about the origins of Gilbert & Sullivan's "Model of a Modern Major General." I was willing to bet Bill Boettcher $100 that it was from HMS Pinafore, which I recall my dad dragging me to a bunch of times, whereas Bill was quite convinced it was from Pirates of Penzance (which to his discredit, he did not think was G&S). Fortunately, Bill backed down from the bet in the face of my certainty. Here's a clip of it from the Pirates of Penzance (notice Kevin Kline) I was especially abashed as just yesterday I had been having a conversation with David about how I never insist on something unless I am truly certain (after assuring my whole family that surely the bike race coming through Geneva, Switzerland during our 1990 visit could not be the Tour de France, as we were in Switzerland-- little did I know then it regularly ventures outside of France). So, the amateur cognitive scientist in me was really curious as to how I could have been so wrong. Anyway, I realized that the G&S song I know so well from HMS Pinafore is "He is an Englishman," but since I think "Modern Major General" has more cultural penetration, when I thought "famous G&S song I know really well," that's what stuck in my brain despite my being 100% wrong that it was from Penzance. Anyway, I will now redouble my efforts to not speak with certainty unless I truly am certain. We'll have to see how that works.
Brief updates
When I wrote my angry rant yesterday, I had been hoping that Slate's Dahlia Lithwick would have written something about the case involving prosecutors and absolute immunity. Now she has. I'll just give you her takeaway line:
Meanwhile, also in Slate, Tim Noah takes up the issue of pro-life House Democrats trying to derail health reform. I like this part:
Posted by shgreene ( Nov 05 2009, 11:16:09 AM EST ) Permalink Comments [0]
Stimulate US
Paul Krugman has been making the case (quite effectively, in my opinion) for some time that we need more economic stimulus. In Salon, Robert Reich has a nice column discussing the political imperative of this on the Blue Dogs, who are always whining about budget deficits in totally nonsensical ways (of course, all else being equal you'd prefer a deficit to a surplus, but right now, all else is definitely not equal). It is their own re-elections most imperiled by a lack of a stimulus. Only question is if they are smart enough to realize that (I suspect not). Anyway, Reich nicely lays out the case:
That's the case. Let's see if Obama makes it and the Blue Dogs listen.
What the hell kind of country do we live in?!!
Apparently one in which government officials can torture totally innocent people with impunity if they think the person might be a terrorist and one in which prosecutors are granted complete immunity to frame someone for murder. Hyperbole? Sadly, no-- just today's news. Truly, truly depressing. Each of these totally deserves their own post, but I thought I'd combine because it truly says something about the sad state of our democracy. First, the torture bit. The facts, courtesy of Glenn Greenwald:
So, what did the American 2nd Circuit Court of Appeals decide? Sorry, despite the fact that Canada published two phone books worth of material on this case, Arar could not sue the U.S Government in order to protect "state secrets." Sorry, it is no secret how craven and dismissive of liberty our government has become. Like the constitutional scholar he is, Greenwald sums it up brilliantly:
If you are not disgusted, you don't deserve your rights. On a similarly, though not quite as depressing note, the Supreme Court just heard oral arguments in a case in which prosecutors knowingly framed two innocent men and sent them to jail for life, but they argue, and the Obama administration joins them, that prosecutors have absolute immunity in such matters. Hey, maybe we just need to let prosecutors loose on terrorists. They can waterboard them, threaten family members, all sorts of good stuff. That would surely bring in lots of credible and valuable confessions! Anyway, NPR had a a agreat story on the matter today. You can listen or read it at the link. Please do. Really. The bright side on this one, is that maybe, just maybe, the US Supreme Court will rule that prosecutors are not actually a law unto themselves. I'm not holding my breath on that, though. Sigh.
Fun with google
Generally speaking, I quite like the auto-complete feature on google. Here's a fun article in Slate that's a bit of amateur sociology, e.g., the different suggestions you get typing in "how 2" versus "how do I" etc. Pretty interesting. A sample
Trenchant election analysis
One of my former colleagues and current facebook friends asked for my "trenchant election analysis." Here goes... 1) There's too damn much election analysis going on! We are talking about governor's races in 2 states. Yes, there are some suggestive ideas from this, but to draw broad, meaningful conclusions is folly. That said... 2) Bad time to be an incumbent, especially a Democratic one. Let's face it, the economy is still pretty weak and people have not seen the Democrats do all that much for them (most people don't really appreciate that we narrowly escaped a genuine economic catastrophe). Corzine was a really unpopular incumbent in a bad economy-- this is no great Republican victory. 3) McDonnell won Virginia handily by running as a can-do pragmatic moderate Republican. His record suggests he is, in fact, a fire-breathing, social issues conservative. I didn't follow the election enough to see how he pulled that off successfully, but hey, nice work. The most interesting commentary I read on the VA race was TNR's Jason Zengerle who suggested that the rural VA Deeds was never a comfortable fit for Northern Virginians and Dems win Virginia state-wide races by running up huge margins in NoVa. No matter how much gun-loving, good ol' boy Deeds was, he was never going to pick up a ton of Dem votes south of Fredericksburg and he didn't play particularly well where the Dem votes are. 4) Republicans are angry and energized. Democrats are complacent. No surprise that Republicans turned out in dramatically better numbers. Republicans should also fare better in 2010 as many of the 2008 Obama supporters remain home, but we should not make too much out of this year, because, ultimately, it all depends on... 5) It's the economy stupid. What yesterday's elections tell us is that if the economy is in roughly the same shape in a year, the Democrats are in for a world of hurt. Of course, there's more reason than not to expect it to be substantially better. Regardless, what happens in 2010 will be much more reflective of the economy next Fall than any political undercurrents that the 2009 VA and NJ governor's races reveal. 6) Nate Silver takes a nice statistical approach to it all. Posted by shgreene ( Nov 04 2009, 03:56:34 PM EST ) Permalink Comments [1]
More Juvenile Injustice
So, recently, I wrote about the Supreme Court hearing a case about whether it was Constitutional for a 13 year-old to receive a life sentence without parole for a crime short of murder. Turns out there's lots of reasonable doubt as to whether this 13 year old is actually guilty of anything more than burglary, but he was horribly treated by the justice system of Florida-- starting with a pathetic excuse for a lawyer who has been suspended from practicing in Florida. The whole sorry is pretty shameful. Questionable witnesses with strong ulterior motives, a victim who thinks the voice her assailant "could very well be his," and a judge who seems somewhat clueless. Slate's Amy Bach summarizes the travesty.
How labor laws spread the flu
Love this post from Ezra. I'm just going to borrow it:
Posted by shgreene ( Nov 03 2009, 03:11:56 PM EST ) Permalink Comments [0]
Islamic creationism
Interesting article in Science Times today on creationism and evolution in the Muslim world. Apparently, most Muslims except pretty much all of evolutionary theory except that humans are descended from apes. That, they cannot take. This was my favorite part of the article:
I'll leave aside for the moment the fact that in Pakistan the response to an academic speaker you disagree with is apparently to riot. I'd have to wear body armor to class.
Abortion and health care reform
I am actually quite sympathetic to pro-life Democrats, but their latest efforts to try and sabotage health care reform are rather infuriating:
In this case, Keenan is exactly right. This is not pro-choice hyperbole. A major aspect of reform is getting private plans to compete in health exchanges. Low-income Americans will be able to buy insurance through these exchanges with finanical help from the government to afford a health plan. Stupak and the like are basically demanding that either: 1) these private insurance companies selling on the exchange not be allowed to offer abortion, or, 2) we don't subsidize citizens in paying for insurance. It's all well and good to oppose abortion, but it is a legal medical procedure and there does not seem much justification for telling a private insurance company they cannot cover it. As for #2, that's pretty much the biggest point of health reform-- expanding coverage.
Preserve your battery life
Very helpful article from Farhad Manjoo about preserving battery life in modern electronic devices. It starts out somewhat depressing though:
That said, the great sin of battery life is over-charging. Don't do it. I've been guilty and I'm going to stop.
Pretty handy. The basic rule seems to be the 20-80 and keep things from getting hot. Words to live by in our gadget-filled age.
Juvenile (In)justice
The Supreme Court heard two cases this past week on the issue of whether giving life sentences to juveniles for crimes other than murder violates the Constitution's 8th amendment prohibition against cruel and unusual punishment. One of the cases involves a defendant who was 13 when he was sentenced to life in prison without parole. Apparently, this is very much a Florida issue:
Had quite a good discussion of this going on my on-line class discussion for Public Policy. Firstly, on a practical level, this policy is just incredibly stupid. Do you really want to make a determination that someone is hopelessly beyond redemption from actions they took when they are 13? Seriously-- that is just moronic. What a waste of state resources locking someone up forever because of something they did when they were a young teenager. As for the Constitutional issue, I'm definitely going with cruel and unusual. As readers of this blog presumably know, I'm a believer that brain science should matter in these things (of course, the name of the blog reflects this). Juvenile brains are quite simply physically immature (not fully myelinated in the prefrontal cortex) in the part that is responsible for judgment. In a sense, they are impaired. When somebody's brain is impaired we don't hold them fully legally responsible for their actions. Punished? yes; life in prison with no parole? no.
Posted by shgreene ( Nov 02 2009, 08:44:49 AM EST ) Permalink Comments [0]
The latest on good bacteria
Those of you who know me know that I'm a huge fan of bacteriological trivia (i.e., the cells in your body are outnumbered 10-1 by bacterial cells) and that I'm a big fan of "good" bacteria. In fact, ever since I read Good Germs, Bad Germs (great book, by the way) I've been taking Lactobacillus Rhamnosus GG every day and am pretty sure I'm the healthier for it. (There's double-blind placebo controlled studies about is efficacy-- I don't go for snake oil). Kim, who is prone to stomach upset, has definitely noticed an improvement. Anyway, interesting article in today's Post about scientists working on a new "good bacteria" that kills salmonella on the surface of fruits. Apparently, in the lab, it even works against the nasty E. Coli.
Obviously, if this works well at a commercial level, this would be a huge advance for public health. For now, just more "good" bacteria trivia to bore my friends with.
Preschool Halloween and Inequality in America
So, yesterday was the Halloween at Evan's preschool: St. Andrew's Catholic Church Early Childhood Center in Apex, NC. He made a great Yoda.
Anyway, Kim pointed out to me the incredibly high number of fathers attending this event, at about 10am. Probably about 2/3 to 3/4 of the kids had their dads as well as moms there. Basically, this struck me as quite a symbol of the amazing advantages all these kids will have in life. First, as if living in Apex alone didn't tell you, that fact that all these dads were there means that they were likely upper-middle class professionals in control of their own schedule. They don't let you leave your job at the factory for your kid's Halloween parade. Secondly, it shows that these are involved dads. That's a couple of very important legs up on life for these kids. Personally, I appreciate this fact, which is one of the reasons I'm a liberal. I was thinking cynically about how many of these kids some day will go on to graduate from a good college land a good job, credit it all to their own ingenuity and hard work, and get angry at all those poor, lazy people wasting all of their hard-earned and well-deserved tax dollars. So, the same day I'm thinking all of this, Matt Yglesias had a nice post on inequality. We have nowhere near the social mobility in this country that most people think we do:
In fact, non college graduates of the richest fifth of Americans end up doing better than college graduates whose families come from the poorest fifth. How's that for a meritocracy. I'm lucky and so are my kids for having huge advantages early in life. I'm also lucky because I appreciate that fact. |
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I finished reading Where Men Win Glory: The Odyssey of Pat Tillman by Jon Krakauer last night. Great combination-- Tillman's story is truly fascinating and Krakauer is a terrific writer (Into Thin Air remains my favorite non-fiction book ever). I had remembered that Tillman was actually killed by friendly fire and that there was somewhat of a cover-up, but I had no idea of the depth of the bad faith and malfeasance with which the US Army acted to cover this up, rather than ruin the great political story of Tillman going down fighting as a hero. That's actually only the last 1/3 or so of the book, the major portion of the book is really just the amazing story of Tillman's life until then. I knew he was an incredible fellow, but had no idea he managed to carry a 3.8 GPA while starring for a major Division I football team. I also had no idea that he was quite the liberal free-thinker and strongly opposed to the Iraq war. Krakauer also does a good job giving a sense of the context in Afghanistan without bogging down the narrative. Still, the extraordinary senselessness of the friendly fire incident that led to Tillman's death and the Army cover-up are the highlight of the book. Dexter Filkins' somewhat ambivalent review summarizes this wonderfully, so I'll copy:
Anyway, wellI worth reading. And feel free to ask to borrow my copy after I use it for an upcoming book discussion.
Posted by shgreene ( Nov 06 2009, 10:16:43 PM EST ) Permalink Comments [0]