Fully Myelinated
Politics, Science, Miscellany

20080624 Tuesday June 24, 2008
Oil drilling With gas prices what they are, there's been a lot of news lately about possible drilling in ANWR and expanding off-shore oil drilling.  Of course, what is usually not mentioned is just how incredibly marginal the impact of this will actually be on energy prices.  The government's own Energy Information Administration estimates that when ANWR would be fully on-line-- a couple decades from now-- we could expect a drop in the price of oil by a whopping $.75 per barrel (courtesy, Kevin Drum).  Would that even save us $.01 a gallon?  The simple truth is, oil is a global commodity in a global marketplace and nothing the US ever does is going to be more than a drop in the bucket.  All else being equal, presumably more oil is better, but let's not kid ourselves about the actual benefits. 



Posted by shgreene ( Jun 24 2008, 05:24:19 PM EDT ) Permalink
The more you look the more corruption you find in the Bush administration.  In what should be not the least bit surprising to anybody even half paying attention to politics:
Justice Department officials improperly used political and ideological factors to screen applicants for the agency's prestigious honors and summer intern programs, sometimes rejecting otherwise qualified candidates because of their ties to Democrats, internal auditors said in a report issued this morning.

Not at all surprisingly, two Bush political appointees are responsible...

Two members of the screening committee in 2006, Esther Slater McDonald, an adviser to the associate attorney general, and Michael J. Elston, chief of staff to the deputy attorney general, considered political and ideological factors when rejecting candidates "and thereby committed misconduct," the investigators said.

McDonald allegedly wrote "disparaging" remarks about job seekers' liberal ties on their applications, and Elston allegedly failed to take action when the problems were brought to his attention by another concerned member of the hiring panel, according to the report.

On the bright side for President Bush, when people look back years from now on his administration, the fiasco that is the Iraq War will surely largely overshadow the 19th century level of corruption he has brought to the executive branch.  This from the man who campaigned on restoring "honor and integrity" to the White House.



Posted by shgreene ( Jun 24 2008, 03:11:12 PM EDT ) Permalink
More on China's cement production Last week I reproduced a really cool graph created by my friend, political scientist extraordinaire, Kyle Saunders.  Turns out, I wasn't the only one who thought this was really cool and a lot of blogs that people actually read linked to this as well.  Consequently, Kyle has now achieved the ultimate goal of all political scientists-- he was on NPR's "All Things Considered" this weekend discussing the impact of China's cement production on global warming.  What's pretty funny about this is that Kyle didn't actually know anything at all about the topic till Monday of last week, but thanks to a cool chart, he's NPR's go-to guy.  Nonetheless, he gives a pretty interesting interview on the topic (and actually really sounds like he knows what he's talking about) if you are curious.

Posted by shgreene ( Jun 24 2008, 01:07:24 PM EDT ) Permalink
20080623 Monday June 23, 2008
McCain's economic disinterest As I've mentioned before, I think the fact that this is a really bad Republican year will defeat John McCain as much as anything.  The fact that he's utterly clueless on the economy and cares even less sure is not going to help him either.  Kevin Drum reports McCain's and Obama's comments from a recent Forbes interview:

What do you see as the gravest long-term threat to the U.S. economy?

Obama: If we don't get a handle on our energy policy, it is possible that the kinds of trends we've seen over the last year will just continue. Demand is clearly outstripping supply. It's not a problem we can drill our way out of. It can be a drag on our economy for a very long time unless we take steps to innovate and invest in the research and development that's required to find alternative fuels. I think it's very important for the federal government to have a role in that process.

McCain: Well, I would think that the absolute gravest threat is the struggle that we're in against Islamic extremism, which can affect, if they prevail, our very existence. Another successful attack on the United States of America could have devastating consequences.

As Kevin puts it:

Two things are remarkable here. First, that McCain genuinely seems to believe that Islamic extremism poses not just a threat, but a threat to the very existence of the West. This is science fiction territory. Second, that he apparently can't come up with any better answer to Fortune's question about economic threats. Not energy, not high taxes, not runaway entitlement growth, not healthcare, not globalization, not any of a dozen plausible answers that would have gone down fine with his base. Instead, "His eyes are narrowed. Nine seconds of silence, ten seconds, 11." And then he came up with Islamic extremism.

I think this clearly shows McCain's general disinterest in the economy-- far and away the number one issue for voters right now.  The press is giving him a complete free ride on this stuff right now, but at some point he's going to say something this useless when it matters. 




Posted by shgreene ( Jun 23 2008, 05:45:34 PM EDT ) Permalink
20080620 Friday June 20, 2008
Pregnancy pact Bill Boettcher has demanded that I blog this bizarre news story.  From time.com:
As summer vacation begins, 17 girls at Gloucester High School are expecting babies?more than four times the number of pregnancies the 1,200-student school had last year. Some adults dismissed the statistic as a blip. Others blamed hit movies like Juno and Knocked Up for glamorizing young unwed mothers. But principal Joseph Sullivan knows at least part of the reason there's been such a spike in teen pregnancies in this Massachusetts fishing town. School officials started looking into the matter as early as October after an unusual number of girls began filing into the school clinic to find out if they were pregnant. By May, several students had returned multiple times to get pregnancy tests, and on hearing the results, "some girls seemed more upset when they weren't pregnant than when they were," Sullivan says. All it took was a few simple questions before nearly half the expecting students, none older than 16, confessed to making a pact to get pregnant and raise their babies together. Then the story got worse. "We found out one of the fathers is a 24-year-old homeless guy," the principal says, shaking his head.

Noted without further useless comment from me.



Posted by shgreene ( Jun 20 2008, 11:37:43 AM EDT ) Permalink
Children oppose Universal health care Nobody does satire like the Onion.  This video is absolutely brilliant:


Posted by shgreene ( Jun 20 2008, 08:01:14 AM EDT ) Permalink
20080619 Thursday June 19, 2008
War criminals? Wow!  An amazing indictment of the Bush administration's torture regime from former two-star general Anthony Taguba, the general charged with investigating the abuses at Abu Graib.  Dan Froomkin somes it up quite succinctly:

The two-star general who led an Army investigation into the horrific detainee abuse at Abu Ghraib has accused the Bush administration of war crimes and is calling for accountability.

In his 2004 report on Abu Ghraib, then-Major General Anthony Taguba concluded that "numerous incidents of sadistic, blatant, and wanton criminal abuses were inflicted on several detainees." He called the abuse "systemic and illegal." And, as Seymour M. Hersh reported in the New Yorker, he was rewarded for his honesty by being forced into retirement.

Now, in a preface to a Physicians for Human Rights report based on medical examinations of former detainees, Taguba adds an epilogue to his own investigation.

The new report, he writes, "tells the largely untold human story of what happened to detainees in our custody when the Commander-in-Chief and those under him authorized a systematic regime of torture. This story is not only written in words: It is scrawled for the rest of these individual's lives on their bodies and minds. Our national honor is stained by the indignity and inhumane treatment these men received from their captors.

"The profiles of these eleven former detainees, none of whom were ever charged with a crime or told why they were detained, are tragic and brutal rebuttals to those who claim that torture is ever justified. Through the experiences of these men in Iraq, Afghanistan, and Guantanamo Bay, we can see the full-scope of the damage this illegal and unsound policy has inflicted --both on America's institutions and our nation's founding values, which the military, intelligence services, and our justice system are duty-bound to defend.

"In order for these individuals to suffer the wanton cruelty to which they were subjected, a government policy was promulgated to the field whereby the Geneva Conventions and the Uniform Code of Military Justice were disregarded. The UN Convention Against Torture was indiscriminately ignored. . . .

This final paragraph is quite the damning indictment (bolding mine):

"After years of disclosures by government investigations, media accounts, and reports from human rights organizations, there is no longer any doubt as to whether the current administration has committed war crimes. The only question that remains to be answered is whether those who ordered the use of torture will be held to account."

Andrew Sullivan also has a great post on the matter.  My favorite part:

And all this was done not in the chaos of a battlefield or even by rogue units or POW camps. It was not done in a war with anything like as many soldiers and battles as World War II. It was done in a closely managed war by a professional military and intelligence service in every theater of combat as a concerted policy to get more intelligence about Jihadist terror and the Iraq insurgency. It was authorized directly in the chain of command by the president, who knowingly broke the law and hired lawyers to tell him he hadn't. No clever argumentation that "only" 270 prisoners remain at Gitmo can gainsay that. And it is not, by the way, evidence against the fact that this administration seized countless innocents and tortured them to say that they eventually released most of them. It is no consolation to the torture victims at Abu Ghraib that they were eventually set free and their innocence confirmed. Those are the standards of benign dictatorships, not democracies.

And, on the war criminal front, over at TNR, Scott Horton writes that a number of Bush administration officials better be careful where they travel, lest they actually be held accountable for their actions.  It would be nice to see some of these anti-democratic thugs masquerading as civil servants get what they deserve. 


Posted by shgreene ( Jun 19 2008, 04:02:27 PM EDT ) Permalink
Is your marriage suffering? Now that gay marriages are happening in California, the huge damage to heterosexual couples must already be under way.  Imagine all the pain and fighting going on in California's heterosexual couples as "the institution of marriage is undermined."  Oded Gross sums it all up perfectly in this video (thanks to Matt Yglesias):



Posted by shgreene ( Jun 19 2008, 11:13:58 AM EDT ) Permalink
20080618 Wednesday June 18, 2008
Doubly-depressing McClatchy continued its terrific series on Guantanamo today with a story about how the prison has taken ordinary Middle-Eastern thugs and turned them into radical Islamists bent on harming the United States.  Well done Bush administration!  The details:

A McClatchy investigation found that instead of confining terrorists, Guantanamo often produced more of them by rounding up common criminals, conscripts, low-level foot soldiers and men with no allegiance to radical Islam ? thus inspiring a deep hatred of the United States in them ? and then housing them in cells next to radical Islamists.

The radicals were quick to exploit the flaws in the U.S. detention system.

Soldiers, guards or interrogators at the U.S. bases at Bagram or Kandahar in Afghanistan had abused many of the detainees, and they arrived at Guantanamo enraged at America.

The Taliban and al Qaida leaders in the cells around them were ready to preach their firebrand interpretation of Islam and the need to wage jihad, Islamic holy war, against the West. Guantanamo became a school for jihad, complete with a council of elders who issued fatwas, binding religious instructions, to the other detainees.

Rear Adm. Mark H. Buzby, until recently the commanding officer at Guantanamo, acknowledged that senior militant leaders gained influence and control in his prison.

File under, "not at all surprising" the fact that:

Pakistani police intelligence concluded that the men ? the majority of whom had been subjected to "severe mental and physical torture," according to the report ? had "extreme feelings of resentment and hatred against USA."...

"A lot of our friends are working against the Americans now, because if you torture someone without any reason, what do you expect?" Issa Khan, a Pakistani former detainee, said in an interview in Islamabad. "Many people who were in Guantanamo are now working with the Taliban."

Anyway, once again, some truly outstanding reporting from not the New York Times or Washington Post, but sadly the latest news is that McClatchy is cutting 1400 jobs (10% of its workforce).  For the record, McClatchy recently combined with Knight-Ridder, about the only national news organization that got things right about the Iraq war.  Sadly, we can probably expect less of this great reporting in the future.  And the reason for this-- the internet.  With everybody placing their ads in Craig's List, Cars.com, etc., newspaper revenues are way down.  So, I guess that means: saving money using on-line sources = decline in journalism.  Bummer.



Posted by shgreene ( Jun 18 2008, 06:09:06 PM EDT ) Permalink
20080617 Tuesday June 17, 2008
"The worst Supreme Court decision" ever John McCain shows himself to be as ignorant of Supreme Court history as he is of reasonable tax policy with his recent comments about last week's decision on the Guantanamo detainees.  George Will, of all people, rakes him over the coals in today's column.  (Though I usually disagree with George Will, he is no Republican hack and gets things spot-on on occasion).  Anyway, to Will:

The day after the Supreme Court ruled that detainees imprisoned at Guantanamo are entitled to seek habeas corpus hearings, John McCain called it "one of the worst decisions in the history of this country." Well.

Does it rank with Dred Scott v. Sanford (1857), which concocted a constitutional right, unmentioned in the document, to own slaves and held that black people have no rights that white people are bound to respect? With Plessy v. Ferguson (1896), which affirmed the constitutionality of legally enforced racial segregation? With Korematsu v. United States (1944), which affirmed the wartime right to sweep American citizens of Japanese ancestry into concentration camps?

Did McCain's extravagant condemnation of the court's habeas ruling result from his reading the 126 pages of opinions and dissents? More likely, some clever ignoramus convinced him that this decision could make the Supreme Court -- meaning, which candidate would select the best judicial nominees -- a campaign issue...

The purpose of a writ of habeas corpus is to cause a government to release a prisoner or show through due process why the prisoner should be held. Of Guantanamo's approximately 270 detainees, many certainly are dangerous "enemy combatants." Some probably are not. None will be released by the court's decision, which does not even guarantee a right to a hearing. Rather, it guarantees only a right to request a hearing. Courts retain considerable discretion regarding such requests.

It will be interesting to see the depths John McCain sinks to in his right-wing pandering this election season.


Posted by shgreene ( Jun 17 2008, 09:03:41 PM EDT ) Permalink
A day in charts I found this great chart, which seems to be making the rounds of the blogosphere, over at Ezra Klein today:


What this chart does is compare Obama's and McCain's tax plans.  If you aren't so good at reading charts, here's the upshot: Under Obama's plan 80% of taxpayers would see modest increases in after-tax income and the top quintile would see their after-tax income go down-- most of this concentrated in the very richest Americans at the far right of the chart.  Under McCain's plan, all income quintiles would see modest percentage increases in after-tax income, but the richer you are, the more you benefit.  I can't wait to hear how he spins this during debates, etc., (actually, I'm pretty sure Mr. Straight Talk will just lie and the press will be too ignorant to call him on it).

And, just to make a post with two charts, a friend send me this rather fascinating chart today that compares China's cement usage to the rest of the world.  The difference is truly amazing:

What does this mean?  Find out here.


Posted by shgreene ( Jun 17 2008, 08:59:52 PM EDT ) Permalink
20080616 Monday June 16, 2008
And why that decision is so important The reason it is so important that we give the Guantanamo prisoners a reasonable opportunity to challenge their detention is that so many of them truly don't belong there.  While there are definitely some really bad dudes there, on the whole, this is definitely not, "the worst of the worst" as Bush and co. are so fond of saying.  McClatchy newspapers shows us what real journalism actually looks like with their great investigative report on who is actually at Guantanamo:

An eight-month McClatchy investigation in 11 countries on three continents has found that Akhtiar was one of dozens of men ? and, according to several officials, perhaps hundreds ? whom the U.S. has wrongfully imprisoned in Afghanistan, Cuba and elsewhere on the basis of flimsy or fabricated evidence, old personal scores or bounty payments.

McClatchy interviewed 66 released detainees, more than a dozen local officials ? primarily in Afghanistan ? and U.S. officials with intimate knowledge of the detention program. The investigation also reviewed thousands of pages of U.S. military tribunal documents and other records.

This unprecedented compilation shows that most of the 66 were low-level Taliban grunts, innocent Afghan villagers or ordinary criminals. At least seven had been working for the U.S.-backed Afghan government and had no ties to militants, according to Afghan local officials. In effect, many of the detainees posed no danger to the United States or its allies.

The investigation also found that despite the uncertainty about whom they were holding, U.S. soldiers beat and abused many prisoners...

Some details:

Army Spc. Eric Barclais, who was a military intelligence interrogator at Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan from September 2002 through January 2003, told military investigators in sworn testimony that "We recommended lots of folks be released from (Bagram), but they were not. I believe some people ended up at (Guantanamo) that had no business being sent there."

"You have to understand some folks were detained because they got turned in by neighbors or family members who were feuding with them," Barclais said. "Yes, they had weapons. Everyone had weapons. Some were Soviet-era and could not even be fired."

A former Pentagon official told McClatchy that he was shocked at times by the backgrounds of men held at Guantanamo.

" 'Captured with weapon near the Pakistan border?' " the official said. "Are you kidding me?"

"The screening, the understanding of who we had was horrible," he said. "That's why we had so many useless people at Gitmo."...

The majority of the detainees taken to Guantanamo came into U.S. custody indirectly, from Afghan troops, warlords, mercenaries and Pakistani police who often were paid cash by the number and alleged importance of the men they handed over. Foot soldiers brought in hundreds of dollars, but commanders were worth thousands. Because of the bounties ? advertised in fliers that U.S. planes dropped all over Afghanistan in late 2001 ? there was financial incentive for locals to lie about the detainees' backgrounds. Only 33 percent of the former detainees ? 22 out of 66 ? whom McClatchy interviewed were detained initially by U.S. forces. Of those 22, 17 were Afghans who'd been captured around mid-2002 or later as part of the peacekeeping mission in Afghanistan, a fight that had more to do with counter-insurgency than terrorism.

It would be upsetting that we had no interest in fair and impartial justice if we were actually dealing with terrorists.  To know that we were so mistreating so many innocent people is really an everlasting stain on our country, especially, President Bush.

Posted by shgreene ( Jun 16 2008, 03:51:58 PM EDT ) Permalink
The latest Guantanamo decision I've been a little delinquent in commenting on last Thursday's Supreme Court decision declaring that the procedures in place in Guantanamo for dealing with "enemy combatants" violate the U.S. Constitution (again).  Best commentary on this (as often seems to be the case with Supreme Court matters) comes from Slate's Dahlia Lithwick:

The Supreme Court, by a 5-4 margin, determined that neither the president, nor the president plus Congress, could strip detainees at Guantanamo of the ancient right to habeas corpus via the 2006 Military Commissions Act (PDF). This is pretty legal and technical, and the concrete ramifications are still baffling to just about everyone. Judging by the tone of Justice Antonin Scalia's dissent, however, you'd think that Justice Anthony Kennedy and his colleagues in the majority not only released Hamdan and his buddies from their imprisonment at Guantanamo, but also armed them with a rocket launcher and paid their collective train fare to Philadelphia. "The game of bait-and-switch that today's opinion plays upon the Nation's Commander in Chief will make the war harder on us. It will almost certainly cause more Americans to be killed," Scalia wrote. He concluded his dissent with this warning: "The Nation will live to regret what the Court has done today."

Here, I will simply interject that Antonin Scalia is an absolute moral and intellectual embarrassment to this nation.  The idea that simply giving someone the right to reasonably challange their detention, not releasing them, just putting that on the table, means the Americans will die is facially absurd.  The whole point is not to let terrorist go free, but to release the many people in Guantanamo who are not terrorists by giving them a chance to prove that after six years.  Furthermore, even if you want to grant that we will potentially releasing terrorists, keeping the American people safe at all costs is not the point of our Constitution.  If that is honestly your first principle, you will be happiest in a police state.  Would we be safer if police could randomly search people on the street and enter homes whenever they wanted?  You bet, but fortunately, we don't live in a totalitarian society.  Back to Lithwick:
And in the end, this is the fight between the majority and the dissent: Kennedy and the justices who signed his opinion (David Souter, John Paul Stevens, Stephen Breyer, and Ruth Bader Ginsburg) are worried about the very real risk of a lifetime of mistaken imprisonment. And the dissenters (Scalia, Roberts, Clarence Thomas, and Samuel Alito) are worried about the risk of ... what? Not an actual mistaken release, but a day in court. The big threat here is of federal court review that may?somewhere far down the line, and at the moment entirely hypothetically?result in the release of a detainee or (more attenuated still) the disclosure of a piece of hypothetical information that could help the terrorists in their fight against us...

Justice Scalia, meanwhile, is banking on someday cashing in the "I told you so" chit he wrote for himself today. In the event that one of the prisoners who has suffered years of abuse and mistreatment at Guantanamo is someday actually released following a federal habeas proceeding and blows something up, Scalia wants to be able to point at Justice Kennedy as the man who let him go. Or if in the course of a someday trial, a piece of evidence is leaked that somehow strengthens a terrorist group, he can blame Kennedy for his blind faith in the federal courts. The dissenters here are unwilling to bear the risk that any of the 270 men at Guantanamo?among them people who were grabbed as teens and others who claim actual innocence?go free. And, indeed, reasonable people can disagree about whether that risk is too much to bear. But Scalia and his dissenting friends today made clear that this is not the risk to which they most object. What they cannot accept is the risk that their brothers and sisters on the federal bench?with decades of judicial experience and the Constitution to light their way?might now do what they are trained to do: hear cases.

Posted by shgreene ( Jun 16 2008, 03:48:40 PM EDT ) Permalink
20080613 Friday June 13, 2008
Just in case you were thinking of watching Fox news Last week, a Fox news show speculated about Obama's "terrorist fist jab" with his wife.  This week, during a segment on Michelle Obama, they used the caption "Obama's Baby Mama" to refer to her.  (If you are not down with the lingo, the phrase refers to the mother of a child that the father has essentially abandoned).  They are simply not a serious news organization.

UPDATE: Apparently, I was a little hasty in my choice of words to define "baby mama."  One of my intrepid readers writes in: "In modern African American culture, the institution of marriage has all but eroded, thus the rise of the 
so called "baby-mamma" phenomenon. But I would hesitate to use the phrase "all-but abandon" as you have. In many instances,  fathers are still involved in their children's lives, as much as any divorced father might be."  Still, not at all an appropriate term to definte Michelle Obama.




Posted by shgreene ( Jun 13 2008, 09:54:34 PM EDT ) Permalink
20080612 Thursday June 12, 2008
The post-Hillary bump Now that Hillary has been officially out of the race for the better part of a week, the polls are definitely showing some movement in Obama's favor.  Pollster.com has a nice visual summary of the poll averages (and the link has tables of all the actual polls):

One should definitely not make too much of polls from this point in an election (if they were always accurate, we would have had President Dukakis).  Nonetheless, it certainly strikes me as encouraging news for Obama's November prospects.


Posted by shgreene ( Jun 12 2008, 02:37:49 PM EDT ) Permalink

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