Wednesday July 30, 2008 | Fully Myelinated Politics, Science, Miscellany |
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Just for fun
Listen to this for the funniest three minutes you'll have today.
Posted by shgreene ( Jul 30 2008, 01:25:59 PM EDT ) Permalink
The Right's obsession with abortion
I was just doing a Lexis/Nexis search for articles on abortion to assign to my Gender and Politics class for the upcoming semester. Wanting articles that reflected last year's Gonzalez v. Carhart decision on "partial birth abortion" I used that phrase as my search term. Lexis/Nexis has a cool new search feature that sorts results by source. I searched magazines and of the 151 articles, a full 90 were accounted for by just The Weekly Standard and The National Review, the renowned Conservative flagships. No other source even had ten articles on the topic. Just thought that was kind of interesting.
Posted by shgreene ( Jul 29 2008, 01:26:40 PM EDT ) Permalink
"Saving" Social Security
I just love this post from Jonathan Chait, so I'm going to borrow it wholesale:
The New York Times, summarizing John McCain's stance on Social Security:
News accounts are constantly saying something like this. It's one of those phrases that seems to be programmed into the computer of every reporter who ever touches on Social Security. But it's wildly inaccurate. Private investment accounts do not improve solvency at all. They make it worse. Look, it's pretty simple. If you let younger workers divert some of their Social Security tax dollars into private accounts, then that money is not available to pay for regular Social Security benefits. So for every dollar of private accounts that would be created, another dollar of benefits has to be cut just to stay even. If the only element of your plan is to create private accounts, which is the case with McCain, then your plan worsens Social Security's finances. I think I've made the following analogy before. Suppose my "plan" for saving Social Security consists of building giant gold statues of President Bush throughout the country. (Maybe the theory is, I don't know, that the statues would make future retirees more patriotic and thus more willing to accept lower Social Security benefits.) If newspapers reported on this plan, would they say that "it's not clear that the statues alone could address the financial shortfall that the retirement system could face in coming decades"? --Jonathan Chait What's especially sad is that the Times and the Washington Post are among the best of our media outlets and they are constantly guilty of this pathetic reporting.
Have you no shame, John McCain?
Wow. Whatever integrity John McCain may have once had has surely all been tossed overboard in his desperate attempts to defame Obama in order to win the presidency. Here's his latest ad:
It says: ?Barack Obama never held a single Senate hearing on Afghanistan,? the
ad?s announcer says. ?He hadn?t been to Iraq in years. He voted against
funding our troops. And now, he made time to go to the gym, but
cancelled a visit with wounded troops. Seems the Pentagon wouldn?t
allow him to bring cameras. John McCain is always there for our troops.
McCain: Country first.? It concludes with the candidate?s voice: ?I?m
John McCain and I approve this message.? Of course, it is not actually true. As Steve Benen puts it: There are eight sentences in this campaign commercial, and the only honest one was McCain approving of this message. The claim about Senate hearings is wildly misleading. The attack about voting against funding the troops is ridiculous. The argument about Obama not spending time in Iraq is disingenuous. The notion that Obama would rather go to the gym than visit wounded troops is insane. The claim that Obama would only visit troops if he could bring cameras is an inflammatory, transparent lie. The notion that McCain is ?always there for our troops? is demonstrably false. I?m not trying to tell campaign reporters how to do their job. Actually, scratch that. I am trying to tell campaign reporters how to do their job. The McCain campaign is airing an intentionally deceptive ad, hoping that a) voters won?t know the truth and can be easily misled; and b) the media won?t raise a fuss about the campaign lying to the public. By refusing to do even the most basic level of fact checking, news outlets are encouraging the McCain campaign to engage in its most cynical and dishonorable tactics. Greg Sargent also has a nice deconstruction. Olbermann sticks it to McCain here. Posted by shgreene ( Jul 29 2008, 11:04:40 AM EDT ) Permalink
Terrorism vs. Politics
The extreme and absurd politicization of the U.S. Department of Justice under Bush (and Alberto Gonzalez) is old and sad news, but an official report today shows just how bad it was:
Former Justice Department counselor Monica M. Goodling and former chief of staff D. Kyle Sampson routinely broke the law by conducting political litmus tests on candidates for jobs as immigration judges and line prosecutors, according to an inspector general's report released today. Goodling passed over hundreds of qualified applicants and squashed the promotions of others after deeming candidates insufficiently loyal to the Republican party, said investigators, who interviewed 85 people and received information from 300 other job seekers at Justice. Sampson developed a system to screen immigration judge candidates based on improper political considerations and routinely took recommendations from the White House Office of Political Affairs and Presidential Personnel, the report said. Goodling regularly asked candidates for career jobs, "What is it about George W. Bush that makes you want to serve him?" the report said. One former Justice Department official told investigators she had complained that Goodling was asking interviewees for their views on abortion, according to the report. Taking political or personal factors into account in employment decisions for career positions violates civil service laws and can run afoul of ethics rules. Investigators said today that both Goodling and Sampson had engaged in "misconduct." The improper personnel moves deprived worthy candidates of
promotions and damaged the credibility of the Justice Department,
investigators wrote. An experienced counterterrorism prosecutor, for
example, was kept from advancing in favor of a more junior lawyer who
lacked a background in terrorism. Got that. Why worry about fighting terrorism when there's conservatives to be hired? Drum digs into the DOJ report and shows just how absurd and pathetic this was (from the report):
Sounds like a great guy. But there was a problem:
Make no mistake, this disgusting display of partisan politics ahead of national security rests squarely on George Bush's shoulders. This sort of political hackery clearly has the fingerprints of Karl Rove all over it, but Rove was not operating in a vacuum. I don't care where you fall on the political spectrum, this is just indefensible, and if you are tempted to defend it, you really need a reality check on the partisan blinders you are wearing. Posted by shgreene ( Jul 28 2008, 08:47:57 PM EDT ) Permalink
What to read
I've just finished my latest update of my book reviews. At the beginning of the year, I think I was close to a year behind on reviews, but now I'm pretty much caught up. I'm definitely not going to let myself fall so far behind again. I've already blogged about the most noteworthy book I've recently read, How to Read the Bible. Therefore, I'll go ahead and make mention of two additional titles. First, Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely-- terrific fun in the Freakonomics and Tipping Point tradition.
Also, Overtreated by Shannon Brownlee which comprehensively shows how a central problem with American medicine is not too little treatment, but too much. We are wasting a lot of resources on treatments with no evidence behind them. If you are curious, but don't want to read the whole book, Brownlee has a nice article on the topic at Washington Monthly. Happy reading. Posted by shgreene ( Jul 26 2008, 04:03:44 PM EDT ) Permalink
Not so smart on foreign policy
Earlier this week I was musing that John McCain is not nearly so smart on foreign policy as he is generally given credit for. Now, Slate's Fred Kaplan strongly makes the case for why this is so (clearly, I inspired him):
That was the big nail-biter: Would Obama, the first-term senator and foreign-policy newbie, utter an irrevocably damaging gaffe? The nightmare scenarios were endless. Maybe he would refer to "the Iraq-Pakistan border," or call the Czech Republic "Czechoslovakia" (three times), or confuse Sunni with Shiite, or say that the U.S. troop surge preceded (and therefore caused) the Sunni Awakening in Anbar province. But, of course, it was Obama's opponent, John McCain?the war hero and ranking member of the Senate Armed Services Committee?who uttered these eyebrow-raisers. "Czechoslovakia" was clearly a gaffe, and understandable for anyone who was sentient during the Cold War years. What about the others, though? Were they gaffes?slips of the tongue, blips of momentary fatigue? Or did they reflect lazy thinking, conceptual confusion, a mind frame clouded by clichéd abstractions? If Obama had blurted even one of those inanities (especially the one about the Iraq-Pakistan border), the media and the McCain campaign would have been all over him like red ants on a wounded puppy. Kaplan nicely points out that how this fits into the most pervasive biases of press coverage. Journalists craft a narrative or conventional wisdom for campaigns, and then despite all potential evidence the contrary, they stick with it. McCain caught almost no hell for his statements?they were barely noted in the mainstream press?most likely because they didn't fit the campaign's "narrative." McCain is "experienced" in national-security matters; therefore, if he says something that's dumb or factually wrong, it's a gaffe or he's tired. Obama is "inexperienced," so if he were to go off the rails, it would be a sign of his clear unsuitability for the job of commander in chief. It may be time to reassess this narrative's premise?or to abandon it altogether and simply examine the evidence before us. Quite apart from the gaffes, in formal prepared speeches, McCain has proposed certain actions and policies that raise serious questions about his suitability for the highest office. As president, he has said, he would boot Russia out of the G-8 on the grounds that its leaders don't share the West's values. He would form an international "League of Democracy" as a united front against the forces of autocracy and terror. And though it's not exactly a stated policy, he continues to employ as his foreign-policy adviser an outspoken, second-tier neoconservative named Randy Scheunemann, who coined the term "rogue-state rollback" and still prescribes it as sound policy. If you are curious as to why these particular policies are unsound, you can read the rest of the article. I'm sold.
Who's fault?
Slate has a really cool interactive map of the major players in all of the Bush administrations scandals and crimes. It's really pretty fun to play with. As the creator's write, "And if all else fails, fall back on this golden rule of wrongdoing in the White House: All roads lead to Gonzales."
Posted by shgreene ( Jul 25 2008, 02:53:19 PM EDT ) Permalink
Put down your cell phone and drive
There was a really good article in Salon today that explained just why it is so much more dangerous to talk on a cell phone while driving. What your hands are doing has little to do with it, it's what your brain is doing that's the problem. Apparently, there's been some pretty interesting scientific research on the matter:
But can't you just ignore the voice chatting in your ear when driving conditions get hairy? Apparently not. "Listening to someone talk is a very automatic process and you can't will yourself not to," explains Just. "In another study, we told them [test subjects] to ignore the sentences, but it made very little difference. You have to block your ears. You can't turn off your brain processing." You may think that you're tuning out your husband or BFF on the other end of the phone when road conditions get bad, but it's not that simple. "It's insidious," says Just. "If you're in a tough driving
situation, and someone talks to you, the processing of the language is
going to start right away, whether you like it or not." One thing I've always wondered about, though, is shouldn't it be just as potentially dangerous to hold an involved conversation with a passenger? Apparently not-- phone conversations and in-car conversations are actually quite different: As long as the Model-T has been on the road, people have been conversing with the passengers in their vehicles, if only to scream at the pesky kids, "Shut up! I'm trying to drive!" But there's a difference between talking to somebody in the car and on the phone. Most passengers in the car adjust their conversation to what's happening on the road, quieting down when traffic gets hectic or even pointing out hazards up ahead, acting as a second set of eyes. The person on the other end of a cellphone call might not know you're driving, much less be aware of the road conditions. "The difficulty is that the party on the other line has no sense of your driving situation and just yaks, and the driver elects to do it, too," explains Paul Allan Green, research professor at the University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, where he leads the Driver Interface Group. Inside a car, there can be natural lulls in the conversation of 20 or 30 seconds, and there is no awkwardness associated with it. Not so on the cellphone call, where there's more social pressure on the driver to hold up his or her end of the conversation, if only to assure the other party that the call hasn't been dropped. "There is all sorts of social pressure to continue the conversation and not break it off," says Green. When a driver does stop talking to focus on the road, his caller is likely to ask, "Hey, can you hear me? Are you there?" The caller tries "to reengage the driver at the wrong time," says Strayer. Further, researchers find that people tend to be more chatty in a cell conversation than an in-car one. "Cellphone conversations are more intense than in-car conversation," says Paul Atchley, professor of psychology at the University of Kansas. That intensity can be measured. Researchers in England studied drivers' conversations with both passengers and callers. They found that people used a higher number of words per minute on cellphone conversations. In the end, car passengers just have more skin in the game. "People in the car have their own safety at risk," says Atchley. "It's to their advantage to not put the driver in the dangerous situation, so we as passengers tend to edit ourselves pretty effectively." The larger point is that laws banning cell phone use unless the cell is hands-free are pretty pointless: Researchers doubt that banning hand-held phones gets to the root of the problem: the conversation. Sure, it's safer to have both hands on the wheel, but no one is passing laws banning stick shifts. Atchley believes that the new cellphone laws may be counterproductive, instilling a false sense of security, since they may lull drivers into thinking that gabbing on the hands-free phone is just fine. I generally try and keep my own automotive cell phone conversations limited to situations where traffic is light and I'm quite familiar with my route, but I'm definitely going to be more cognizant of the risks. Posted by shgreene ( Jul 25 2008, 02:00:03 PM EDT ) Permalink
The not-very-bright American voter
The Post today has a nice little article that prominently features political science research debating just how smart (or stupid) the typical American voter is. Personally, I tend to lean towards the latter camp. Anyway, the highlight:
So a bunch of academics decides to revisit one of the defining books of modern American politics, a 1960 tome on the electorate. They spend years comparing interviews with voting-age Americans from 2000 and 2004 to what Americans said during elections in the 1950s. The academics' question: How much has the American voter changed over the past 50 years? Their conclusion -- that the voter is pretty much the same dismally
ill-informed creature he was back then -- continues a decades-long
debate about whether Americans are as clueless as they sound. Of course, not all political scientists agree on the cluelessness of the American voter... Americans "don't sound the way the high priests of culture want them to
sound," says Samuel L. Popkin, author of "The Reasoning Voter," who
tends to give voters more credit rather than less. "They use their own
language. They process a lot more than they can recall in interviews.
They have a lot better sense of who's on their side and who isn't than
they're often given credit for." Among the authors of the new research, is one of my Ohio State mentors: "If they know they're Republican and have been happy that way, they'll stay Republican," says another of the book's four authors, Herb Weisberg, who chairs the political science department at Ohio State University. Even for those voters who do rethink their allegiance to a given party -- because, say, the party in power has fouled things up -- "if times get better, they'll get back to where they were," Weisberg says. The article actually does a nice job summarizing a significant political science debate. If you'd like a better understanding of just what Political Scientists are killing trees for to fill up journals on a subject that is actually pretty interesting, give it a read.
When the right-wing becomes mainstream
Generally speaking, I consider it a waste of my time to comment on idiocy from right-wing blogs. Or, in this particular case the fact that right-wing bloggers are upset that Obama's campaign in Germany has distributed fliers printed...in German!. What's a problem, however, is when mainstream news organizations start taking their cues from this nonsense-- case in point, ABC's Jake Tapper. On Good Morning America today, with no other context, he simply said something along the lines that Obama's campaign was distributing fliers "in German," with what struck me as a subtle emphasis on those words. Your typical GMA viewer must be left wondering why that's worth mentioning. What's next-- ads in Spanish for spanish-language TV?
Posted by shgreene ( Jul 24 2008, 10:05:07 AM EDT ) Permalink
Mirror, mirror on the wall
A few weeks ago I read a fascinating article in The New Yorker about the neurobiology of itching. Among the more interesting aspects of the article were the medical uses of mirrors to essentially cure persons of unexplainable, chronic itches, as well as phantom limb problems. Yesterday's Science Times likewise had a fascinating article on mirrors and human perception. Some of the more interesting tidbits:
Other researchers have determined that mirrors can subtly affect human behavior, often in surprisingly positive ways. Subjects tested in a room with a mirror have been found to work harder, to be more helpful and to be less inclined to cheat, compared with control groups performing the same exercises in nonmirrored settings. Reporting in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, C. Neil Macrae, Galen V. Bodenhausen and Alan B. Milne found that people in a room with a mirror were comparatively less likely to judge others based on social stereotypes about, for example, sex, race or religion. ?When
people are made to be self-aware, they are likelier to stop and think
about what they are doing,? Dr. Bodenhausen said. ?A byproduct of that
awareness may be a shift away from acting on autopilot toward more
desirable ways of behaving.? Physical self-reflection, in other words,
encourages philosophical self-reflection, a crash course in the
Socratic notion that you cannot know or appreciate others until you
know yourself. This finding is just really great. You are not as attractive as you think: For that matter, humans do not necessarily see the face in the mirror either. In a report titled ?Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: Enhancement in Self-Recognition,? which appears online in The Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, Nicholas Epley and Erin Whitchurch described experiments in which people were asked to identify pictures of themselves amid a lineup of distracter faces. Participants identified their personal portraits significantly quicker when their faces were computer enhanced to be 20 percent more attractive. They were also likelier, when presented with images of themselves made prettier, homelier or left untouched, to call the enhanced image their genuine, unairbrushed face. Such internalized photoshoppery is not simply the result of an all-purpose preference for prettiness: when asked to identify images of strangers in subsequent rounds of testing, participants were best at spotting the unenhanced faces. And here's something that Kim refuses to believe (and, she's not alone): When we look in the mirror, our relative beauty is not the only thing we misjudge. In a series of studies, Dr. Bertamini and his colleagues have interviewed scores of people about what they think the mirror shows them. They have asked questions like, Imagine you are standing in front of a bathroom mirror; how big do you think the image of your face is on the surface? And what would happen to the size of that image if you were to step steadily backward, away from the glass? People overwhelmingly give the same answers. To the first question they say, well, the outline of my face on the mirror would be pretty much the size of my face. As for the second question, that?s obvious: if I move away from the mirror, the size of my image will shrink with each step. Both
answers, it turns out, are wrong. Outline your face on a mirror, and
you will find it to be exactly half the size of your real face. Step
back as much as you please, and the size of that outlined oval will not
change: it will remain half the size of your face (or half the size of
whatever part of your body you are looking at), even as the background
scene reflected in the mirror steadily changes. Importantly, this
half-size rule does not apply to the image of someone else moving about
the room. If you sit still by the mirror, and a friend approaches or
moves away, the size of the person?s image in the mirror will grow or
shrink as our innate sense says it should. There's a few more interesting tidbits in the full article. Posted by shgreene ( Jul 23 2008, 04:07:45 PM EDT ) Permalink
About that surge
I know I've posted before on the topic of the Surge, and how all this "Surge is working" talking points really misses the big picture about what the surge was actually supposed to accomplish. Given, that the McCain response this week to Obama's big Middle-East success is to basically whine, "but he didn't support the surge and he's not smart enough to realize it's working" it seems necessary to revisit the issue. As Matt Yglesias is much smarter on the issue than me, I'll outsource:
After a couple of days worth of chaotic retreat, the right wing seems to have settled on a fallback position, namely that it's only possible to now contemplate withdrawing from Iraq because things have gotten so much better and all improvements in conditions -- including things that happened before the surge began -- are due to the surge. Thus, despite Obama apparently having shown good judgment on the question of invading Iraq and seeming to have the best policy moving forward, "really" McCain is vindicated. In addition to the somewhat magical thinking in which things like
the "awakening," the Sadrist cease fire, and the natural reduction in
violence that comes with a completed process of ethnic cleansing become
consequences of the surge, this misses the larger point of the surge
debate. Surge opponents said the surge was pointless -- a tactical
smokescreen to obscure the fact that hawks have an unworkable strategy.
And now, over 18 months after the 2006 midterms showed that the voters
want an end to this war, the hawks still can't explain what's been accomplished
in exchange for the hundreds of dead and hundreds of billions spent
over what, say, following the Baker-Hamilton recommendations would have
cost us. The basic shape of the Middle East is the same, our posture in
Iraq is still unsustainable, we're still getting nowhere with Iran, and
things are worse than ever in Afghanistan. Probably, but not certainly,
the surge has helped save some Iraqi lives. But fundamentally, we're
still going to have to leave Iraq and it's still the case -- just as it
was before the war -- that Iraq might muddle along okay or might turn
into a disaster all depending on what choices Iraqi leaders make. Posted by shgreene ( Jul 23 2008, 02:14:32 PM EDT ) Permalink
"Dumb as a sock"
I did my best to try and explain the Iraq War to David yesterday. He wanted to know why we didn't just use the atomic bomb since that had worked out okay in WWII. In fact, he yelled out to me while trying to fall asleep to explain why it had been okay to drop the bomb on Japan (that's right, my 8 year old gets insomnia worrying about history). Anyway, after explaining the Iraq War in a thoroughly objective and non-partisan manner, David responds, "George Bush is dumb as a sock." Believe it or not, I really have been teaching respect for the president all these years, but mostly I was pleased to see David come up with a put-down I would have used myself.
Posted by shgreene ( Jul 22 2008, 12:46:58 PM EDT ) Permalink |
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Posted by shgreene ( Jul 30 2008, 01:37:39 PM EDT ) Permalink